Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.033610 13.515252 15.212018 17.323325 19.915373 23.042484 2.717887e+01
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.891649 11.606317 13.712917 16.557087 20.407290 25.620123 3.357315e+01
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.834265 10.674830 13.047971 16.445754 21.399704 28.764767 4.151300e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.034373 9.921065 12.443347 16.222882 22.074173 31.496363 4.981626e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.472782 9.398737 12.054806 16.198034 22.974230 34.754873 6.058482e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.078821 9.053690 11.856467 16.397986 24.235177 38.974621 7.590062e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.583412 8.514727 11.309156 15.957059 24.288066 40.890747 8.712605e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.259323 8.192480 11.048170 15.935480 25.075624 44.559648 1.064943e+02
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.856475 7.722823 10.516271 15.385597 24.749713 45.646192 1.188009e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.447588 7.218204 9.890875 14.605592 23.840709 45.095962 1.247847e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.113421 6.807615 9.386453 13.990145 23.176797 45.003311 1.330876e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.241992 7.107337 10.040614 15.529654 27.342893 59.500162 2.453951e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.166470 7.096628 10.203853 16.224556 29.958504 71.814576 4.233659e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.858157 6.698125 9.680329 15.518163 29.069695 71.861021 4.842227e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.676009 6.491649 9.471676 15.417902 29.686948 77.989320 7.116058e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.493694 6.274281 9.227508 15.215785 30.000178 83.247481 1.058544e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.353046 6.117177 9.077994 15.193247 30.800346 91.411660 1.965555e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.252085 6.019713 9.027325 15.374570 32.229583 104.207124 6.328757e+03
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.078758 5.792634 8.725981 14.974574 31.860451 107.187123 1.463306e+04
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.967887 5.665676 8.600881 14.954985 32.659966 118.159335 1.881284e+08
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.802225 5.438746 8.277400 14.455341 31.846983 118.170070 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.618520 5.175065 7.874110 13.745102 30.255768 111.980818 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.462653 4.954479 7.543581 13.183430 29.087638 108.395866 NaN